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Environmental Engineer & UNESCO Consultant

Ahmed Saber Sakna

Water,
Heritage,
Resilience.

I build the bridge between ancient wisdom and modern science — using machine learning, remote sensing, and cultural heritage frameworks to secure water futures across the Arab world. From nuclear power infrastructure to the oases of the Western Desert, every step of my career has been shaped by a single question: what does responsible water stewardship actually look like?

UNESCO Regional Office for Egypt & Sudan
MSc IHE Delft Institute for Water Education, 2024
€1M+ in climate adaptation funding secured
Cairo, Egypt — Working across 12+ countries
Download CV GitHub ↗

Let's Build Something
That Lasts

Environmental Consultant · Water Resource Specialist · Cairo, Egypt

a.sakna@unesco.org · Ahmadsakna96@gmail.com · +20 112 586 5035

My Story

A Question Born
at El Dabaa

From First in Class
to Nuclear Engineer

In 2018, I graduated ranked 1st in my cohort from the Egyptian Russian University with a BSc in Construction Engineering and a GPA of 3.93/4.00. The path forward seemed clear: build things that matter, at the highest possible level.

But before the construction sites, there were four years in the classroom — not as a student, but as a Teaching Assistant. I designed curriculum for 120+ students annually across Engineering Hydrology, Sanitary Engineering, Water Resources Management, and Project Management. I organized three national workshops on sustainable water management for 200+ stakeholders. I introduced GIS tools into modules that had never used them. The classroom taught me how to translate complexity into clarity — a skill that has defined every role since.

"Technical precision without cultural and environmental grounding is not engineering. It is just construction."

In 2022, I joined Hassan Allam Construction as a Project Engineer at the El Dabaa Nuclear Power Plant — one of Africa's largest active infrastructure programs on Egypt's Mediterranean coast. I managed critical water supply and firefighting infrastructure for 174+ buildings, coordinated 5 multinational stakeholders, and achieved a 15% reduction in cost overruns. But the Mediterranean basin asked me questions that the construction site could not answer.

El Dabaa Nuclear Power Plant
2022–2023 · El Dabaa, Egypt

El Dabaa Nuclear Power Plant

Africa's largest infrastructure program — where the real question began.

2018
BSc · Egyptian Russian University

Ranked 1st in Cohort — GPA 3.93/4.00

Construction Engineering. Teaching Assistant 2018–2022 for 120+ students annually across 4 courses. 3 national workshops organized. First publications in self-healing bacterial concrete.

2022–23
Project Engineer · Nuclear Infrastructure

Hassan Allam Construction — El Dabaa NPP

Critical water infrastructure for Africa's largest nuclear project. 15% reduction in cost overruns. 5 multinational stakeholders coordinated. The Mediterranean basin raises the question that redirects a career.

Built on Two Disciplines,
United by Water

BSc — 2018 · Ranked 1st · GPA 3.93/4.00 · Cairo

Construction Engineering

Egyptian Russian University · Cairo, Egypt
Foundation in structural analysis, cost engineering, project management, and the water infrastructure questions that arise when building at scale.

Teaching Assistant 2018–2022 for 120+ students annually across Engineering Hydrology, Sanitary Engineering, Water Resources Management, and Project Management — achieving a 10% improvement in exam pass rates. Developed new curriculum integrating applied GIS tools and real-world case studies. Organized 3 national workshops for 200+ stakeholders on sustainable water management and climate resilience. Research publications in self-healing bacterial concrete introduced the idea of systems that regenerate rather than just resist.

Primavera P6SAP2000 · ETABSRisk ManagementNuclear QA/QCCurriculum DesignWorkshop Facilitation
MSc — 2024 · IHE Delft, The Netherlands

Water & Sustainable Development
Engineering Sciences

IHE Delft Institute for Water Education · Delft, Netherlands
"Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Water Consumption Using Remote Sensing Data and Machine Learning: A Case Study of the Nile Delta, Egypt"

Developed predictive ML models using WaPOR v2 satellite AETI data and AgERA5 climate reanalysis, trained against a 23-model CMIP6 ensemble. Produced crop-specific water consumption projections for six major crops under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 through 2099. Nine ML algorithm types evaluated; Random Forest, SVR, and Ridge selected as best performers. Findings submitted for peer-reviewed publication (2026). Interdisciplinary Grenoble project: co-developed multi-stakeholder reservoir operation models with Grenoble Water Reservoir Authority.

WaPOR v2AgERA5CMIP6 · 23 GCMsRandom Forest · SVRPython · RQGIS · ArcGIS

Beyond the Classroom:
Leading at IHE

My time at IHE Delft was not just about the thesis. It was about becoming part of a global water community — and contributing to it.

🎓
Student Leadership · IHE Delft

Vice President — Student Board

Elected Vice Leader of the IHE Delft Student Board. Organized institute-wide events, debates, and interdisciplinary exchange programmes for the global student body.

🌍
World Water Week 2024 · Stockholm

Representing IHE Delft Internationally

Selected to represent IHE Delft at World Water Week 2024 in Stockholm — the world's leading annual water conference. Participated in sessions on climate adaptation, food-water nexus, and the future of water education.

🎤
Graduation Speech · IHE Delft · 2024

Speaking for a Generation

Delivered the graduation speech on behalf of the graduating cohort, focusing on the right of every child to food and water security. A message connecting scientific training to universal human obligation.

▶ Watch the Speech →
🔬
Internship · Montpellier AgroParisTech

Agricultural Water Research — France

Research internship at AgroParisTech Montpellier, France. Focused on agricultural water use optimization and the intersection of agronomy with hydrological modeling.

💧
Internship · Grenoble Water Reservoir Authority

Multi-Stakeholder Reservoir Management

Co-developed reservoir operation models integrating ecological flow targets, irrigation, hydropower, and recreational objectives. Facilitated structured stakeholder interviews and co-design workshops to strengthen social legitimacy of management plans.

🏛️
WHO75 & WMO HQ Geneva

Debates at the Heart of Global Governance

Participated in discussions at WHO75 (75th Anniversary of the World Health Organization) and debates at the WMO Headquarters in Geneva — engaging with global policy on the intersection of water, health, and climate at the highest institutional level.

IHE Delft Graduation Speech
Graduation Speech · IHE Delft · 2024

The Question Answered — And Opened Further

Speaking on food as a right for all children. The moment that connected El Dabaa to UNESCO.

World Water Week 2024
World Water Week 2024 · Stockholm

Representing IHE Delft

At the world's premier annual water conference.

IHE Delft Student Board
IHE Delft Student Board

Vice President — Student Leadership

Organizing debates, events, and international exchange.

Instruments of Analysis

GIS & Remote Sensing

  • QGIS · ArcGIS Pro
  • WaPOR v2 (FAO)
  • AgERA5 reanalysis
  • Google Earth Engine
  • NDVI · EO Monitoring
  • Spatial Analysis

Data Science & ML

  • Python (Pandas, GeoPandas)
  • Scikit-learn · Random Forest
  • SVR · Ridge · MLP
  • CMIP6 ensemble analysis
  • R (ggplot2)
  • Mann-Kendall trend analysis

Data & Visualization

  • SQL (SQL Server, SQLite)
  • Power BI · Tableau
  • Matplotlib · GeoPandas
  • Advanced Excel
  • Publication-quality cartography

Project Controls

  • Primavera P6
  • Risk Management
  • Nuclear QA/QC standards
  • Budget Oversight
  • Multi-ministry Coordination
  • PMP (2026)

Engineering Tools

  • SAP2000 · ETABS
  • AutoCAD
  • HEC-HMS · HEC-RAS
  • Concrete plant management

Languages

  • Arabic (Native)
  • English — IELTS Band 8.0
  • Russian (Intermediate)
  • French (Elementary)

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UNESCO Regional Office for Egypt & Sudan · Oct 2024 → Present

Four Workstreams,
One Mandate

Joining UNESCO Cairo

The journey from IHE Delft to UNESCO Cairo began at Cairo Water Week 2024, where I met Director Nuria Sanz and joined immediately to develop what would become the WEFE+C Competition. The Arab world's ancient water and land management wisdom is not nostalgic heritage — it is actionable, scientifically validated climate adaptation technology.

Meeting with Director Nuria Sanz
Cairo Water Week 2024 · UNESCO

Meeting Director Nuria Sanz

The conversation at Cairo Water Week 2024 that led directly to joining UNESCO Cairo and launching the WEFE+C Competition.

€1M
Secured from AECID across two climate projects
400+
WEFE+C competition participants nationally
12
Countries in dryland groundwater expert group
5
National ministries coordinated simultaneously

Climate Finance

€1M in AECID funding secured for oasis restoration and mangrove regeneration as part of the Spain–Egypt Alliance.

Youth Innovation

Designed and ran the WEFE+C Trail in Motion, engaging 380+ innovators from universities across Egypt.

Ecological Restoration

Field missions to Siwa, Fayoum, New Valley, and Wadi El Gemal — bridging Traditional Ecological Knowledge with modern hydrology.

Heritage GIS & Policy

GIS analysis for Historic Cairo's Conservation Plan. 12-country Expert Group on Groundwater in Drylands.

On the Ground,
In the Room

From satellite technology conferences to expert group meetings on ancient oases — a year of moving between science, policy, and community.

Oct 2024
Cairo Water Week

Cairo Water Week 2024 — Joining UNESCO & Launching WEFE+C

Met Director Nuria Sanz at CWW 2024. Joined UNESCO immediately afterward to develop the WEFE+C Trail in Motion Competition. Also represented UNESCO in joint sessions with FAO and Wageningen University & Research, exploring how WaPOR data tools can make agricultural water management more efficient. Moderated one of FAO's WaPOR sessions.

View on LinkedIn →
Nov 2024
EgSA · Cairo

NewSpace Africa Conference — Represented UNESCO at Egyptian Space Agency

Represented UNESCO at the EgSA NewSpace Africa Conference. Explored cutting-edge satellite technology, cloud-based analytics, and how space-derived data is reshaping agriculture and water management across Africa. The ability to monitor water resources with satellite precision at the scale of individual farms represents a paradigm shift in how we approach food security.

View on LinkedIn →
Mar 2025
SureNexus Panel · Cairo

WEFE Nexus in Egypt & MENA — Panel on Governance & Integrated Policy

Represented the UNESCO Cairo Regional Office at the WEFE Nexus in Egypt and MENA Region Conference organized by SureNexus and Participatory Development Solutions. Spoke on the panel on Governance and Integrated Policy Planning — addressing how policy fragmentation across water, energy, food, and ecosystem sectors undermines climate resilience.

View on LinkedIn →
Apr 2025
Universities Nationwide

WEFE+C Seminars — Building Capacity Nationally

Delivered a series of public seminars introducing the WEFE+C framework — Water, Energy, Food, Ecosystems, and Culture — to engineering, agriculture, and science faculties nationwide. Introduced Culture as the fifth, mandatory pillar and launched the partnership with MADKOUR Group to bridge innovations to real-world industrial scale.

View on LinkedIn →
June 2025
UNESCO Cairo

UNESCO Expert Group Meeting on Oases — "The Model is the Oasis"

Hosted and led the 12-country Expert Group Meeting on Managing Groundwater and Dependent Ecosystems in Drylands at UNESCO Cairo. A paradigm-shifting dialogue: oases reframed not as fragile problems but as sophisticated living models of resilience. As Dr. Pietro Laureano stated: "The model is the oasis. This is why we have to preserve oasis, because it's a model for the future." Dr. Bisher Imam grounded the discussions: "If we are not talking about our failure… we are not going to learn from it."

View on LinkedIn →
June 2025
UNESCO Cairo

UNESCO Meeting on Ecological & Earth Sciences in the Arab World

Coordinated a landmark meeting bringing together Biosphere Reserve managers, Geopark experts, and conservation scientists from across the Arab region. Director Nuria Sanz set the tone: "We are not at the center of problems, but at the center of solutions." The meeting explored how Biosphere Reserves function as resilient models for climate action, and how Geoparks should be reframed as "natural infrastructure — an investment-worthy climate asset."

View on LinkedIn →
July 2025
UNESCO Cairo

Egypt's National Workshop — UN Convergence Initiative on Food, Climate & Health

Represented UNESCO at the launch of Egypt's National Workshop for the Convergence Initiative. H.E. Prof. Khaled Abdel-Ghaffar and UN Resident Coordinator Elena Panova spoke with a unified voice on tackling the intersection of food systems, climate change, and health. UNESCO contributed expertise on the critical link between water security and food systems.

View on LinkedIn →
July–Aug 2025
Fayoum & New Valley

UNESCO Field Missions — Fayoum & New Valley Governorates

Led two landmark UNESCO field missions. In Fayoum: witnessed the seamless integration of heritage farming and cutting-edge research — from 4,000-year-old basin-irrigated fig orchards to nano-selenium supplements on heat-stressed chicks. In New Valley: four days that challenged every assumption about heritage and development. Hag Saad, 85 years old, described water that once flowed at 50 meters now requiring drilling to 750 — while adapting through "knowledge by sight" accumulated over a lifetime.

Fayoum Mission →    New Valley Mission →
Aug–Sep 2025
UNESCO Cairo

WEFE+C Trail Finals — Leading the Final Evaluation

Led and coordinated the two-day final evaluation event (Aug 28–29) at UNESCO Cairo. 19 finalist teams presented under the "Dossier-First" methodology: 15 minutes presentation + rigorous cross-examination. Selected the three winning projects that entered the 6-week mentorship bootcamp. Also served as Judge at the AI Hackathon for Waterpreneurs, organized with the ACG and the European Commission in Egypt, alongside Dr. Ayman Ayad.

View on LinkedIn →
Oct 2025
Cairo Water Week

Cairo Water Week 2025 — IHP 50th Anniversary & WEFE+C Showcase

Represented UNESCO at Cairo Water Week 2025, celebrating 50 years of the International Hydrological Programme. Showcased WEFE+C winning projects — Cultivania (Siwa), Loopet (Fayoum), and Smart Hydroponics (Kharga) — to international policymakers and donors. The Cultivania team was in active pilot development phase ahead of presenting to international investors.

WEFE Awards
Aug 2025 · UNESCO Cairo

WEFE+C Awarding Ceremony

Recognizing Cultivania, Loopet, and Smart Hydroponics.

AECID Signing
Spain–Egypt Alliance · AECID

Formalising €1M in Climate Adaptation

The partnership that makes both the Oases and Mangroves projects possible.

Governor Meeting
Local Implementation · Cairo Governorate

Historic Cairo Conservation

Aligning municipal planning with UNESCO heritage requirements.

Siwa Site Visit
Field Mission · Siwa Oasis

Siwa: The Salinity Frontline

Assessing waterlogging damage where heritage and agriculture face the same rising threat.

Fayoum Mission
Field Mission · Fayoum

Heritage Meets Innovation

4,000-year-old farming techniques beside nano-science research.

Ababda Community
Indigenous Knowledge · Wadi El Gemal

The Knowledge Holders

The Ababda Bedouin's 20 years of unpublished planting logs are the blueprint.

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Youth Innovation Initiative · UNESCO Cairo · August 2025

WEFE+C:
Trail in Motion

Adding Culture
as the Fifth Pillar

I designed and ran this national competition to prove a belief: Egypt's oases are not problems waiting for outside solutions — they are living laboratories where the pressure of the WEFE Nexus is most acute and where communities already hold the most relevant knowledge.

The WEFE Trail in Motion added a fifth, mandatory pillar to the standard Water-Energy-Food-Ecosystem framework:

Water Energy Food Ecosystem + Culture (mandatory)
140
Teams formally applied
380
Interdisciplinary innovators
250+
Live webinar attendees
19
Finalists rigorously evaluated

How the Competition Worked

01

National Call: Open call through Deans' offices of Engineering, Agriculture, and Science faculties nationally. 13k+ impressions, 1000+ reactions.

02

Capacity Building: "WEFE+C In-Depth" webinar (June 12, 2025) — 3.5 hours of live training. 250+ participants.

03

Technical Screening: 140 formal applications reviewed. Multi-stage funnel reduced field to 19 finalists. Scoring: Technical Innovation (30%), Scalability (25%), Economic Viability (20%), Ecosystem & Social Impact (15%), Pitch Clarity (10%) + Cultural Bonus (+10pts).

04

Final Evaluation: Two-day event at UNESCO Cairo (Aug 28–29, 2025). "Dossier-First" methodology. Each team: 15 minutes + rigorous cross-examination.

05

Mentorship Bootcamp: Winners entered a 6-week intensive programme transforming concepts into fundable Project Documents.

📘 Download Full Competition Report

The People Behind the Ideas

WEFE Evaluation
Aug 28–29, 2025 · UNESCO Cairo

The Dossier-First Evaluation

19 finalist teams. 15 minutes presentation + rigorous cross-examination.

WEFE Awards Ceremony
Awarding · UNESCO Cairo

Announcing the Winners

Cultivania, Loopet, Smart Hydroponics — recognized and seed-funded.

EU Hackathon
Jury · EU-ACG Water AI Hackathon

Judging the Next Generation

AI-powered water management innovations alongside Dr. Ayman Ayad.

Cairo Water Week
Cairo Water Week 2025

Taking the WEFE+C Story Global

Presenting Egypt's youth innovations to international policymakers and donors.

WEFE Team
UNESCO Cairo · MADKOUR Group

The Team Behind It All

Peter Nasr, Khaled Noby Mohamed, Dina Elgayar, Yasmine Abdel-Maksoud, Alaa El-Sadek, Karim Ehab Salah.

WEFE Webinar
June 12, 2025 · Online

WEFE+C In-Depth Training

3.5 hours of live capacity building. 250+ participants from across Egypt.

Ideas That Won

🥇
Siwa Oasis · Waterlogging & Salinity

Cultivania — Siwa Nexus Regeneration

Decentralized solar-powered Reverse Osmosis units treat brackish agricultural drainage water. Treated water irrigates salt-tolerant heritage crops and supports aquaculture in the Gambi Depression. Co-designed with local farmers. Currently in pilot development phase ahead of Cairo Water Week 2026.

🥈
Fayoum · Lake Qarun

Loopet — AI Valorization of Poultry Waste

A circular bio-economy model targeting Lake Qarun's ecological crisis. AI-optimized bioconversion process transforms massive poultry industry runoff into high-quality aquaculture feed — processing units powered by self-cleaning solar panels.

🥉
Kharga Oasis · Deep Desert

Smart Hydroponic System

Solar-powered closed-loop hydroponics achieving 90% water savings. IoT sensors and a mobile app democratize high-efficiency farming, making it accessible for low-income households and youth entrepreneurs.

Continue Exploring

Two Ecosystems.
One Million Euros.
One Framework.

In September 2025, King Felipe VI and President El-Sisi signed the Spain–Egypt Alliance for Sustainable Development (2025–2030). Both projects below are its direct operational expression, co-developed by Ahmed Sakna as Project Specialist at UNESCO Cairo. Together they demonstrate a single thesis: conservation pays for itself when heritage, science, and community are treated as a unified system.

€535K
Oases Restoration — Western Desert
€500K
Mangrove Regeneration — Red Sea
24mo
Implementation period 2026–2028
8
Key partner institutions
Desert · Oasis Biomes · Western Egypt · MAB Programme

Restoration of Historic Oases

Combatting Climate Change & Advancing the Green Economy in Egypt's Western Desert · 2026–2028
€535,000 24 Months

The Situation: Our Forensic Agrarian Review documented a "Phenological Shift" — climate change is physically altering the seasonal cycles and harvest dates of staple crops. Fossil aquifers are depleting at rates 3–5x faster than recharge. The ancestral "Knowledge by Sight" — intricate unwritten methods of managing scarce water — is dying with the elder generation.

Four site-specific pilots — each addressing a distinct challenge
Dakhla Oasis
Water Harvesting

2–3 traditional wells rehabilitated, 2 sand dams + recharge trench. 3ha of gravity-fed drip irrigation — eliminating diesel pumps.

Fayoum Oasis
Agro-Innovation

Ancient "Fallow Irrigation" revived alongside intercropping of date palms with legumes, moringa, and henna. Bio-polymers bridging 4,000-year-old technique with 21st-century materials science.

Siwa Oasis
Salinity Management

8ha of salt-tolerant heritage crops, 150 agroforestry windbreak trees, 2 wetland strips for natural filtration and ecosystem recovery.

Kharga Oasis
Eco-Tourism & TVET

Historic 1960s Administrative Complex restored as School of Traditional Crafts. Local youth trained as heritage geo-tourism guides.

The Genetic Ark: 50,000 seedlings of endangered, climate-resilient heritage date varieties (Saidi and Siwi) will be mass-propagated bio-securely, securing the genetic future of Egypt's oases. Additionally, 20 women-led startups trained to convert agricultural waste into organic flour, animal feed, and natural cosmetics.
Siwa OasisFayoumKhargaDakhlaDesert Research CenterFayoum UniversityEgyptian Space Agency
New Valley Wells
New Valley · Kharga & Dakhla

The Pulse of the Desert

The Nubian Sandstone Aquifer — a finite resource.

Siwa Site Visit
Siwa Oasis

The Salinity Frontline

Where heritage and agriculture face the same threat.

Coastal · Blue Carbon · Red Sea · IOC Ocean Literacy

Green Economy & Mangroves

Strengthening Coastal Resilience & Blue Carbon in Egypt's Red Sea · Wadi El Gemal & Hamata · 2026–2028
€500,000 24 Months

The Situation: A devastating 30% decline in Red Sea mangrove cover, driven by rapid urbanization, unregulated camel overgrazing, and climate change. Past restoration initiatives failed because they relied on guesswork — ignoring local hydrology and excluding the Ababda Bedouin who hold 20 years of unpublished ecological knowledge.

Four scientifically validated, shovel-ready pillars
Pillar 1
Precision Ecological Restoration

Restore 20km of coastline with 20,000 mangrove trees. Planting zones dictated by 40 years of Egyptian Space Agency satellite baselines (1985–2025).

Pillar 2
Protection Infrastructure

Camel-proof fencing around every planting zone. Restore degraded tidal channels to reinstate correct hydrological flow — the critical condition past projects ignored.

Pillar 3
Green Skills & TVET

Formal vocational training for 60 local youth and women in sustainable fisheries, mangrove nursery operations, and eco-tourism guiding.

Pillar 4
Scientific Monitoring

Continuous NDVI Vegetation Index analysis via EgSA satellite imagery. Project culminates in a peer-reviewed Mangrove Restoration Model.

The 40-Year Satellite Baseline & The Ababda Bedouin: Retrospective remote sensing (1985–2025) identifies exactly where mangroves historically thrived. The Ababda Bedouin Tribes are institutionalized as central stewards of the Community Mangrove Stewardship Committee (CMSC). Their economic survival is now directly tied to the health of the mangrove bio-shields.
Wadi El GemalHamataAbabda BedouinEgSA · AUC · NIOFHEPCA
Ababda Community
Wadi El Gemal

The Knowledge Holders

20 years of unpublished planting logs.

Mangrove Site
Wadi El Gemal · Red Sea

The Restoration Zone

20km of coastline to be restored.

Continue Exploring

Peer-Reviewed Research · MSc Thesis · IHE Delft 2024

The Zankalon
Forecast

My MSc thesis produced a counterintuitive finding that challenges standard assumptions about how climate warming affects crop water demand — and revealed that national land-use policy, not climate change itself, is the dominant driver of Egypt's future agricultural water crisis.

MSc Thesis · Under Peer Review · 2026 · IHE Delft

"Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Agricultural Water Consumption Using Remote Sensing Data and Machine Learning: A Case Study of Zankalon, Nile Delta, Egypt"

🛰

Data: WaPOR v2 (30m resolution AETI, 2009–2023), AgERA5 climate reanalysis, ensemble of 23 CMIP6 General Circulation Models. Six major irrigated crops. Projections through 2099 under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5.

🤖

Method: Nine ML algorithm types evaluated per crop. Best performers: Random Forest (Orchards R²=0.863, Wheat R²=0.684), SVR (Rice R²=0.832, Grapes R²=0.677, Potato R²=0.766), Ridge Regression (Clover R²=0.770).

❄️

Counter-intuitive finding 1: Winter crops (wheat, clover) show INCREASING water demand (+5.3–6.6% by 2099). Warmer winters increase evaporative demand during the cool growing season.

🌊

Counter-intuitive finding 2: Summer crops (rice, grapes) show DECREASING water demand (−4.7% to −6.3%). Driven by projected changes in humidity and radiation balance during peak summer months.

📊

Policy finding: Agricultural expansion will drive a +13.5% total CWR increase by 2050 vs. +3.6% from climate change alone. National land-use policy is the critical lever.

Projected AETI Change by Crop (SSP5-8.5 · 2099)
Wheat
+6.6%
Clover
+6.6%
Orchards
+4.2%
Potato
+0.4%
Grapes
−4.0%
Rice
−6.3%
Total CWR Increase by 2050 — What Actually Drives It
Climate change alone
+3.6%
Climate + agricultural expansion
+13.5%

Egypt faces an existing annual water deficit of 13.5 billion m³. The crops most planned for national expansion — wheat and orchards — are precisely those projected to need the most water under climate change. Policy is the lever that matters most.

Model Performance Summary — Best Algorithms per Crop
Random Forest
R²=0.863
Orchards
SVR
R²=0.832
Rice
Ridge Reg.
R²=0.770
Clover

Peer-Reviewed Work

Under Review · 2026

Sakna, A., Mul, M., Tran, B., & Seyoum, S. "Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Water Consumption Using Remote Sensing Data and Machine Learning: A Case Study of the Nile Delta, Egypt." Submitted for peer review, 2026.

→ Code & data: github.com/sadow999/IHE-Thesis
Published · 2026

Abdelal, Q., Al-Kilani, M.R., Al-Bakri, J., Keblouti, M., & Sakna, A. "Reduced Frequency of Soil Moisture Measurements for Cost-effective Irrigation Management in Arid Regions." Journal of Agrometeorology, 28(1), 100–103.

doi:10.54386/jam.v28i1.3254 →
Published · 2022

Galishnikova, V.V., Elroba, S.M., Dayoub, N., & Sakna, A. "Use of natural compounds as nutrition for bacteria in self-healing mortar." Structural Mechanics of Engineering Constructions and Buildings, 18(1), 54–63.

doi:10.22363/1815-5235-2022-18-1-54-63 →
Published · 2022

Galishnikova, V.V., Elroba, S.M., Mahadi, M.I.A., Dayoub, N., Sakna, A., & Fakhratov, M.A. "Bacteria-Based concrete crack healing: A review." AIP Conference Proceedings, 2559, 050010.

doi:10.1063/5.0099031 →
Published · 2021

Galishnikova, V.V., Elroba, S.H., Nassar, M., & Sakna, A. "Self-healing bacterial mortar with calcium lactate and improved properties." Magazine of Civil Engineering, 105(5), Article No. 10503.

doi:10.34910/MCE.105.3 →
Arab MAB Programme · Intellectual Framework · Publications

Drylands, Oases &
Heritage-Based
Solutions

Oases as Living Models
Not Fragile Problems

The publications and policy work at UNESCO Cairo are grounded in a single paradigm shift: oases are not merely natural systems requiring technical interventions. They are heritage-based solutions — socio-ecological systems where cultural practices, traditional knowledge, and social structures are as integral to ecological function as hydrology itself.

The Core Empirical Finding

Linguistic diversity in oasis communities directly correlates with agrobiodiversity. The Siwi Amazigh language contains precise terminology for traditional cultivation techniques and water management practices that have maintained date palm genetic diversity for centuries. When the language erodes, the knowledge erodes — and the ecosystem erodes with it. The loss of traditional knowledge is as direct a threat to oasis sustainability as aquifer depletion.

This framework was developed through three field missions: to Fayoum University's Faculty of Agriculture, to Siwa Oasis, and to New Valley Governorate — then validated through the 12-country Expert Group Meeting on Managing Groundwater and Dependent Ecosystems in Drylands, hosted at UNESCO Cairo in June 2025.

📄 Strategic Framework for Oasis Ecosystems 📄 Arab Biosphere Reserves & Geoparks

Strategic Framework: Four Pillars

01

Integrated Water Management

Context-specific hybrid approaches combining modern engineering with traditional Aflaj, Qanats, and Khettaras.

02

Foundational Inventory

A regional typology of oases by hydrogeological, socio-economic, and developmental characteristics — enabling targeted planning.

03

Indigenous Knowledge

Community empowerment as the primary driver. Communities are active experts whose knowledge is primary data.

04

Science as Enabler

Technology complements rather than replaces traditional wisdom. Remote sensing serves as an amplifier, not a substitute.

Five Documented Case Studies

Siwa, Egypt

Technical success + governance failure = system collapse. Waterlogging returned when enforcement ended.

Azraq, Jordan

Top-down restoration without community agency: only 10% of original wetland area restored.

Aflaj Systems, Oman

2,500-year-old gravity-flow systems persist precisely where traditional social institutions managing them remain intact.

Draa Valley, Morocco

Strong legal framework + community "groundwater contracts" + smart metering = measurable aquifer improvement.

New Valley, Egypt

State-led expansion since the 1960s has depleted the non-renewable Nubian Sandstone Aquifer without local management plans.

Remapping the Arab World's
Hidden Strength

These maps were produced for the UNESCO publication "Biosphere Reserves and Geoparks in the Arab World: Long Lasting Resilience" (2025). Hover to see them come alive — click to expand.

Urban Heritage Framework · UNESCO / Ministry of Tourism & Antiquities

University Heritage Forum:
Historic Cairo
as Living Lab

The UHF bridges 8 universities, the Ministry of Tourism & Antiquities, and Cairo Governorate to develop interdisciplinary conservation strategies for Historic Cairo — a UNESCO World Heritage Site since 1979. Over 85 participants produced 7 technical reports directly informing the Conservation & Management Plan. My role: GIS map production, technical documentation, and programme coordination.

Theme 01

Zero-Energy Cities — Citadel Area

Digital Twin of the Mohamed Ali Mosque using Autodesk Revit and Unreal Engine. Predictive maintenance scheduling and solar energy integration simulations.

Output: A replicable Zero-Energy Heritage model with direct policy implications for Cairo Governorate's energy transition planning.
Theme 02

Green Infrastructure — Fustat

Urban agriculture, water-sensitive design, rooftop gardens, and reintroduction of historically relevant plant species through participatory landscape planning.

Output: Community-managed green space framework restoring Fustat's agricultural heritage identity while delivering measurable urban ecosystem services.
Theme 03

Cultural Economy — El-Gamaliya

Immersive heritage trails, creative economy clusters, and a proposed visitor centre in Muhib El-Din Hall. Strategic linking of traditional craft industries with cultural tourism.

Output: Heritage Economic Activation Plan converting intangible cultural assets into sustainable income for El-Gamaliya artisan communities.
Theme 04

Urban Finance — Darb Al-Ahmar

Adaptive reuse strategies. Innovative financing mechanisms: microfinance schemes, heritage bonds, and eco-transport solutions. Khayer Bek dark tourism VR.

Output: Creative Financing Toolkit for Heritage Adaptive Reuse — a template applicable across Historic Cairo.
Theme 05

Documentation — Eastern Historic Cairo

Meticulous documentation of 25+ monuments in the Mamluk Cemetery using a quantitative risk-based prioritization model assigning urgency scores.

Output: Risk-Based Preservation Index for Mamluk Cemetery monuments — a replicable, transparent methodology for preservation policy.
Theme 06

Climate Hazards — Imam Al-Shafi'i Area

Comprehensive climate hazard mapping. Groundwater management protocols, early-warning systems for flooding and subsidence, social well-being indicators embedded alongside monument protection targets.

Output: Integrated Climate-Heritage Adaptation Plan with quantified risk thresholds and early-warning triggers.
Theme 07

Living Heritage — Al-Azhar

Crafts, storytelling, and Mawlid practices comprehensively mapped and georeferenced. Community Management Plan proposes repurposing Sabil-Kuttabs as cultural hubs.

Output: "Map of Intangible Heritage" layering active social practices onto Al-Azhar's physical urban fabric.

Thematic Map Documents

Each map was produced in support of the Conservation and Management Plan for Historic Cairo.

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Let's Build Something
That Lasts

Environmental Consultant · Water Resource Specialist · Cairo, Egypt

a.sakna@unesco.org · Ahmadsakna96@gmail.com · +20 112 586 5035